A corporate farmer, a farmers' lobbyist and a farm economics researcher discussed the politics and pocketbook effects of tariffs in the sector, and how much sway farmers will have in the outcome of trade policy. The trio -- along with former Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack -- spoke on a panel at the Council on Foreign Relations Dec. 13. "Farmers want to stay with President Trump. A lot of them supported Trump," said Brian Kuehl, executive director of Farmers for Free Trade. "But I think the trade war is biting. Even for farmers we talk with ... who support the president, that patience is starting to wear thin."
The two excluded sectors from planned Europe trade talks -- agriculture and autos -- both want to be included, according to comments filed with the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative ahead of the Dec. 14 public hearing on negotiation priorities. More than 150 organizations and individuals shared their views in the USTR docket ahead of the Dec. 10 deadline for comments.
Automakers, titanium producers and drug industry players shared diverging views inside their respective sectors of how Office of the U.S. Trade Representative negotiators should approach a U.S.-Japan free trade agreement. The department invited the public to share opinions Dec. 10 on what priorities negotiators should pursue, and how the new deal should be similar or diverge from the path forged for the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement and the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Autos are the single biggest import from Japan, making up $51 billion of the $136 billion in goods imports in 2017, according to USTR.
The National Council of Textile Organizations announced Dec. 6 that it endorses the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, and will lobby for it. The organization said the U.S. exported $11.8 billion in textiles within the NAFTA region in 2017. The trade group views USMCA as an improvement on NAFTA because the rewrite has stronger rules of origin for sewing thread, pocketing, narrow elastics and some coated fabrics; it has stronger customs enforcement rules; and it closes what NCTO calls the Kissell Amendment loophole. The Kissell Amendment, which covers Department of Homeland Security uniform and body armor purchases, allows sourcing from NAFTA partners, not just American producers. According to a 2017 GAO report, 58 percent of DHS spending on uniform body armor procurement is for imported items. If USMCA becomes law, apparel purchased for the agency will have to be sewn in the U.S., an NCTO spokesman said. He said the change affects "more than $30 million worth of contracts on an annual basis."
There may be a new opportunity for discussing a North American Single Window now that the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement trade negotiations are completed, U.S. and Canadian officials said during the stakeholder's forum of the U.S.-Canada Regulatory Cooperation Council on Dec. 5. While the trilateral engagement toward a North American Single Window for data entry remains an inherently difficult undertaking, "it's going to be made infinitely easier, I believe," by the agreement to update NAFTA, said Lea-Ann Bigelow, director of interagency collaboration in the CBP Office of Trade. Mike Junek, director of the Canada Border Services Agency programs branch, agreed that completing the USMCA will allow the agencies to shift to other initiatives, such as a North American Single Window. A first step will be "defining what we mean by a North American Single Window" and there's been some work done previously on data harmonization efforts, but "I think the time is right to pick it up again," Junek said. The North American Single Window was discussed for several years, but there's been little movement as the agencies focused on higher priorities recently (see 1609200035).
The United Automobile Workers union would like to see vehicles left out of trade negotiations entirely when Japan and the U.S. sit down to craft a free-trade deal. Josh Nassar, UAW legislative director, told the International Trade Commission that Japan has no tariffs on imported cars, yet its imports are just 7 percent of sales. From all countries, Japan imported 11.1 billion in vehicles in 2017, according to World's Top Exports. In 2017, the Commerce Department said the U.S. imported $51 billion in Japanese-built vehicles. The ITC also heard from the milk lobby, the American Chemistry Council and the American Apparel and Footwear Association during its hearing Dec. 6.
Leaders in Congress's trade committees on both sides of the aisle didn't seem appreciative of President Donald Trump's latest threat to withdraw the U.S. from NAFTA before its replacement is voted on. Trump, speaking to reporters on Air Force One on Dec. 2, said: "I will be formally terminating NAFTA shortly. And so Congress will have a choice of the USMCA or pre-NAFTA, which worked very well." Larry Kudlow, the president's top economic adviser, told reporters on a conference call Dec. 3 that the president said that because "he's trying to light a fire under Congress."
Complaints about weak enforceability of the new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement were found among both trade advocates and free-trade skeptics as they reacted to the signing of the pact Nov. 30 in Argentina. Customs and trade facilitation elements were praised by many interest groups, but the failure to get higher de minimis levels from Canadian and Mexican negotiators was a disappointment, several said. And the fact that steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada and Mexico remain troubles many, with the Global Automakers saying "it is unfathomable that this important issue has not been resolved in the context of these negotiations."
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said the new NAFTA "lifts the risk of serious economic uncertainty," and President Donald Trump said he doesn't "expect to have very much of a problem" getting the deal through Congress, because it's been "so well reviewed." While most Democrats in the House of Representatives are not rejecting Trump's NAFTA rewrite out of hand, none who publicly responded to the Nov. 30 signing rushed to endorse it, either. It must go through a few more steps before it is approved.
Trade groups called for improvements to Japanese customs procedures as part of any U.S.-Japan Free Trade Agreement, including enhanced cooperation between CBP and Japan Customs to combat fraud, in comments submitted to the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative on negotiating objectives for the potential trade deal. Commenters generally supported an increase in the Japanese de minimis level, but as was the case in prior trade agreement negotiations, disagreed on rules of origin, particularly for textiles.