The chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers says trade negotiators have made "a heck of a lot of progress" with Europe, the United Kingdom and Japan, and "all of those agreements are going to look similar" to the rewritten NAFTA. Kevin Hassett was speaking at the Global Services Summit on Oct. 17, as he was interviewed by Laura Lane, UPS president of global public affairs. Technically, none of those trade negotiations have opened, as they are not allowed to until Congress sets priorities. The day before Hassett spoke, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative notified Congress of its intention to begin negotiations (see 1810160057). Hassett said President Donald Trump told his staff, "Once I get a deal with one country, I bet they're really going to cascade, the deals."
USMCA
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement is a free trade agreement between the three countries, also known as CUSMA in Canada and T-MEC in Mexico. Replacing the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 2020, the agreement contains a unique sunset provision where, after six years (in 2026), any of the three parties may decide not to continue the agreement in its current form and begin a period of up to 10 years where USMCA provisions may be renegotiated.
While the changes are likely at least a year away, a KPMG managing director of Trade & Customs Services, Gisele Belotto, told clients that the "changes [to NAFTA] are pretty extensive, and a lot more than changing the name." KPMG held a webcast on understanding the trade implications of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement on Oct. 16. While media coverage has been extensive on the changes to the auto rules of origin, and how that will make it more difficult for Mexican and Canadian autos to enter the U.S. duty-free, KPMG professionals noted that many other products' rules of origin became looser, making it easier to qualify the imports as originating in one of the NAFTA countries.
The International Trade Commission is seeking testimony and submissions for its analysis of how the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement will affect industry, consumers and the economy as a whole. The ITC is charged with producing such a report for Congress to use as it decides whether to ratify any new trade agreement. It must do so within 105 days of the president entering into the agreement.
U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions highlighted U.S. efforts to combat illegal wildlife trade, including through the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, during an Oct. 11 speech at the London Illegal Wildlife Trade Conference. "We are tackling this problem head-on in our trade agreements," he said, according to prepared remarks. The new NAFTA "includes the strongest provisions to combat wildlife trafficking of any trade agreement in history," he said. The Justice Department will also be convening an "expert forum to focus on countering the illegal wildlife trade," Sessions said. He also spoke of the continued importance of the Lacey Act, which "remains among our nation’s most powerful weapons in the fight against the illegal wildlife trade."
The U.S. will not meet with China to talk about trade until he's convinced they're ready to make a deal, President Donald Trump said, speaking with reporters after U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley announced her resignation on Oct. 9 at the White House. Trump said the U.S. rebuilt China by purchasing so many Chinese goods, and that he wants to put an end to the unbalanced trading relationship. "China wants to make a deal. And I say they’re not ready yet. I just say they’re not ready yet. And we’ve canceled a couple of meetings because I just say they’re not ready to make a deal," he said. "It’s been a one-way street for 25 years. We’ve got to make it a two-way street. We’ve got to benefit also, OK?"
International Trade Today is providing readers with some of the top stories for Oct. 1-5 in case they were missed.
Withdrawing from NAFTA before ratification of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement would "trigger devastating negative economic consequences," the Koch Brothers' Freedom Partners organization told President Donald Trump in a letter sent Oct. 3. The letter, which commended the administration for reaching an agreement, said USMCA has positive elements on digital trade, e-commerce and finances, but the introduction of wage standards and stricter auto rules of origin "drive up costs for everyone while protecting only a few jobs at the expense of many others." Freedom Partners and Americans for Prosperity asked the administration to immediately drop the steel and aluminum tariffs on Mexico and Canada, and to end the threat of Section 232 tariffs on autos and auto parts.
When the head of the Canada Institute asked Canadian negotiators in the NAFTA talks what they were most proud of, they said modernization at the border. "The customs facilitation, the regulatory [change] makes a big difference," said Laura Dawson, director of the Wilson Center's Canada Institute. "Origin certificates used to have to be faxed to the border. The fact that they're going to use iPads is a huge win."
The scaling back of the investor-state dispute system, a wage component to rules of origin and a more enforceable labor and environmental standard all address Democrats' complaints that free trade erodes American workers' wages and jobs and privileges corporations over citizens, said Edward Alden, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. "The politics of this are sort of fascinating here," he said of the new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement is not a rewritten NAFTA, President Donald Trump said Oct. 1. Instead, "This one is a brand new deal," he said during a White House event. Lawyers who have begun reading the text say the treaty builds on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the original NAFTA, while including some important new provisions. Mark Warner, a Canadian-U.S. trade lawyer, said that while Trump's speech was full of puffery, "the auto stuff is significant. I don’t think anyone should say it’s not significant."