Jerry Dias, national president of Canada's UNIFOR syndicate, said that before NAFTA, Canada had a small trade surplus in goods with the world, but now it has a $120 billion deficit. He said that General Motors, while closing plants in Canada, doubled its capacity in Mexico. Mexican consumers buy 240,000 GM vehicles a year, and Mexico is on the cusp of producing 1 million vehicles, he said. "And guess where those jobs come from? Canada and the United States." Dias said Canada has lost 500,000 manufacturing jobs in the nearly 25 years that NAFTA has been in place. "Tell me why I should celebrate?"
An alliance of trade groups and business groups -- including PhRMA, the National Chicken Council and the International Association of Drilling Contractors -- is funding the Pass USMCA Coalition, which will lobby for ratification of the new NAFTA, called the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Rick Dearborn, former deputy chief of staff for President Donald Trump, is executive director of the group, and former Obama administration Commerce secretary Gary Locke is honorary chairman.
The approach to a future bill that would give Congress the ability to intervene on Section 232 tariffs will depend on what version can get the broadest bipartisan support, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, told reporters Feb. 13. He said he doesn't have his mind made up on what has to be in the bill to constrain Section 232 actions. He said his staff is "moving very quickly" to put together a bill that "shows the appropriate respect to [Sen. Pat] Toomey and to [Sen. Rob] Portman," Republican committee members who have each authored bills that would constrain the president on the tariffs (see 1901310029 and 1902120033)
International Trade Today is providing readers with some of the top stories for Feb. 4-8 in case they were missed.
Senate Finance Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, said that neither Mexican nor Canadian politicians will ratify the new NAFTA as long as those two countries are subject to U.S. Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs. Grassley, who was speaking to reporters on a conference call Feb. 12, has said in the past that Canadian and Mexican retaliatory tariffs reacting to those tariffs have to be lifted in order to get the new NAFTA through Congress (see 1901090041).
Rep. Rick Larsen, D-Wash., said he is skeptical that a formal agreement on trade will be reached in the U.S.-China talks, citing what he called the Trump administration’s lack of “patience,” and that while some features of the renegotiated NAFTA remain in contention, he senses that more in Congress are comfortable with the language.
In his State of the Union address, President Donald Trump briefly talked about the China deal his administration is negotiating -- he said he's looking for "real, structural change to end unfair trade practices, reduce our chronic trade deficit, and protect American jobs." But he spent more time talking up the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, his replacement for NAFTA, which he called a catastrophe. "I have met the men and women of Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, New Hampshire, and many other states whose dreams were shattered by the signing of NAFTA," he said. By contrast, he said USMCA will deliver for workers. "I hope you can pass the USMCA into law so that we can bring back our manufacturing jobs in even greater numbers, expand American agriculture, protect intellectual property, and ensure that more cars are proudly stamped with our four beautiful words: 'Made in the USA,'" he said, to applause. He said he's making it a priority to reverse "decades of calamitous trade policies."
International Trade Today is providing readers with some of the top stories for Jan. 28 - Feb. 1 in case they were missed.
In order for importers to be able to create certificates of origin under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, U.S. law will have to change. That's one of dozens of changes to statutes that will need to happen to accommodate the changes between NAFTA and USMCA. The U.S. trade representative shared the six-page outline of the needed changes with Congress late on Jan. 29, fulfilling one of the steps under fast-track consideration of the trade pact. The document suggests that USTR is still seeking a lowering of U.S. de minimis levels specifically for Canada and Mexico (see 1810190043), since those countries did not raise their de minimis levels as much as the U.S. negotiators wished.
The perspectives from Congress, Canada and Mexico -- and a former acting U.S. trade representative -- diverge wildly on how much can be changed in the new NAFTA to garner votes for approval and how difficult it will be to get it passed in 2019. Miriam Sapiro, who was acting USTR and is now with SVC Public Affairs, used the term “lovely miracle” to describe how she’d feel if it passed this year. Rep. Kevin Brady, R-Texas, the ranking member on the House Ways and Means Committee, said it's clear that the metals tariffs on Canada and Mexico -- without quotas -- have to have a date certain to come off before Congress members are really about to start “to count the noses.”